National League South
Dec 26, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 47' yellowcard
  • Karl Oliyide 81' goal
  • redcard 85'
  • redcard Isiah Noel Williams 85'

Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Horsham 1 - 2 Chesham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mitchell Weiss

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 0 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mauro Vilhete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Chesham United 44.21% (-0.10)
Draw 26.92% (+0.04)
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.87% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.24% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 55.76% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 23.11% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.89% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.18% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.82% (+0.05)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 25.07% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 40.24% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 59.76% (+0.13)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.74% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.25% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Chesham United 44.2%
Draw 26.91%
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.87%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.91%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 9.21% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.87%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • 8' yellowcard
  • Kyle Ajayi 61' goal
  • Joe White 69' goal
National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Meadow
  • Mitchell Weiss 29' yellowcard
  • Joe Grant 44' goal
  • Nathan Minhas 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe White 70'
  • yellowcard George Williams 90'
  • yellowcard George Williams 90'+1'