National League South | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2025 at 1pm UK

Chesham Chesham United
vs.
Hemel Hemps.Hemel Hempstead Town

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Horsham 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win is 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
44.31% ( 0.22)	26.89% ( 0.01)	28.81% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.13)

55.66% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

-0.11)

76.82% (

0.11)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.05)

24.98% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

0.07)

59.63% (

-0.07)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

-0.25)

34.53% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-0.27)

71.25% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 44.3%

Hemel Hempstead Town 28.81%

Draw 26.88%

Chesham United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.81%