National League South

Dec 26, 2025 at 1pm UK

Chesham Chesham United
1-0
Hemel Hemps.Hemel Hempstead Town

Oliyide (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Noel Williams (85')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Next Game: Slough vs. Chesham
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Next Game: Hemel Hemps. vs. Enfield Town
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
44.21% ( -0.09)	26.92% ( 0.03)	28.87% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.05% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

-0.09)

55.76% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

-0.07)

76.89% (

0.08)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

-0.09)

25.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

-0.12)

59.76% (

0.12)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

-0)

34.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

-0)

71.25% (

Score Analysis

Chesham United 44.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town 28.87%

Draw 26.91%

Chesham United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.87%