National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 0 Bath City
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Owen Windsor

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Worthing 0 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Brad Dolaghan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Worthing win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Bath City has a probability of 26.64% and a draw has a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Bath City win is 2-1 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).

Result

Bath City 26.64% (+0.13)
Draw 21.81% (-0.09)
Worthing 51.54% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.38% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.19% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 57.58% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 42.42% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.34% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 65.66% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 20.98% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 79.02% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Bath City 23.08% (-0.10)
Draw 37.34% (+0.05)
Worthing 39.58% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Bath City 36.26% (+0.16)
No Goal 5.5% (-0.02)
Worthing 58.24% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 66.41% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.06% (-0.02)
Under 8 23.53% (-0.08)
Over 9 55.44% (+0.10)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.59% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 44.44% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 55.56% (-0.11)

Bath City Goals

Over 1.5 29.77% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.23% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.7% (-0.01)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 79.33% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.67% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 50.98% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.02% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.99%
Under 2.5 74.01%
Over 3.5 11% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 89% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Bath City 26.64%
Draw 21.81%
Worthing 51.54%
Bath City
2-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.71% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.26% (+0.02)
Total : 26.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 21.81%
Worthing
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.56%
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.13%
Other @ 10.96% (+0.07)
Total : 51.54%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Jack Spong 47' goal
  • Danny Cashman 79' goal
  • goal Kieran Parselle 72'
National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Jack Batten 54' yellowcard
  • Danny Greenslade 59' yellowcard
  • Sol Wanjau-Smith 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Grimes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Beard 54'
  • yellowcard Kane Wills 54'
  • goal Joe Cook 80'
  • goal Harrison Smith 90'+5'
National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Danny Cashman 37' goal
  • Danny Cashman 79' goal
  • goal Scott Wilson 30'
  • goal Jordan Dyer 65'
National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • goal Ricky Aguiar 45'+3'
  • goal Joe Raynes 71' (OG)
National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Ollie Pearce 4' goal
  • Joel Colbran 86' goal
  • goal Cody Cooke 51'
  • goal Tom Smith 64'
  • goal Scott Wilson 75'