National League South
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

Worthing
3-2
DorkingDorking Wanderers

Jenks (10', 50'), Dolaghan (32')
Cook (90+10')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Casey (25'), Carter (34')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Dorking
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Worthing vs. Chippenham
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Dorking
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Tonbridge Angels vs. Dorking
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawDorking Wanderers
45.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.3% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)67.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.02000000000001 0.02)20.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (0.033999999999999 0.03)52.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.34% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)64.07% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 45.5%
    Dorking Wanderers 29.99%
    Draw 24.51%
WorthingDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.99%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2025 3pm
gameweek 45
Worthing
1-1
Dorking
Spong (42')
Rutherford (51')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 23
Dorking
1-2
Worthing
Prior (26')
Briggs (45+8')
Rea (12'), Wheeler (45+6')
Cashman (42')