Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.