National League South
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

2-0

Casey (59', 86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Horsham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 2-0 Horsham
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Next Game: Worthing vs. Dorking
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Horsham
Tuesday, January 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Horsham vs. Farnborough
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Horsham win was 0-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawHorsham
50.91% (0.145 0.15)24.15% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)24.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.79% (0.281 0.28)47.21% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.56% (0.261 0.26)69.44% (-0.259 -0.26)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (0.166 0.17)18.56% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (0.277 0.28)49.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.096000000000004 0.1)33.13% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.106 0.11)69.73% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 50.91%
    Horsham 24.94%
    Draw 24.15%
Dorking WanderersDrawHorsham
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 24.94%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Horsham
1-0
Dorking
Dickson (85')
rhs 2.0


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