National League South
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 2
FT The Meadow
  • Mitchell Weiss 48' goal
  • Alexander Lafleur 55' goal
  • Jayden Bennetts 76' goal
  • Karl Oliyide 90'+7' goal
  • goal 12'
  • goal Charlie Seaman 12'

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 1 - 0 Eastbourne
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Mitchell Weiss

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Bath City 2 - 2 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (9.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%).

Result

Chesham United 38.84%
Draw 28.41%
Ebbsfleet 32.75% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.95% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 30.05% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.64%
Under 2.5 55.36%
Over 3.5 23.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.8% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.16% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.84% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Chesham United 28.64%
Draw 46.13%
Ebbsfleet 25.23%

Team To Score First

Chesham United 46.91% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.39% (+0.01)
Ebbsfleet 43.7%

Corners

Over 8 53.36%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 34.28%
Over 9 41.19%
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.64%
Over 10.5 30.23%
Under 10.5 69.77%

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 35.92%
Under 1.5 64.08%
Over 2.5 13.37% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.63% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.08%
Under 3.5 95.92%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 65.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.26%
Under 1.5 68.74%
Over 2.5 11.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.71% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.25%
Under 3.5 96.75%

Score analysis

Chesham United 38.84%
Draw 28.41%
Ebbsfleet 32.75%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 38.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 28.41%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT