National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Greg Luer 52' goal
  • Charlie Hester-Cook 88' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Wilson 71'

Horsham vs Bath City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Horsham 0 - 1 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
James Hammond

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Bath City 2 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Owen Windsor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 43.27% (+0.11)
Draw 26.53% (+0.06)
Bath City 30.26% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 26.75% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 48.78% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 51.22% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 26.56% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 73.44% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 14.43% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 85.57% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Horsham 32.95% (-0.04)
Draw 42.82% (-0.08)
Bath City 24.23% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Horsham 51.18% (-0.30)
No Goal 7.68% (-0.03)
Bath City 41.14% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 63.07% (+1.86)
Equal 8 11.14% (+0.08)
Under 8 25.79% (-1.93)
Over 9 51.2% (+1.58)
Equal 9 11.86% (+0.27)
Under 9 36.93% (-1.86)
Over 10.5 39.67% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 60.33% (-1.18)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 40.92% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 59.08% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 17.22% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 82.78% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 5.73% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 94.27% (-0.30)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 65.14%
Under 0.5 34.86%
Over 1.5 30.81% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 69.19% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 10.82% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 89.18% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Horsham 43.27%
Draw 26.53%
Bath City 30.26%
Horsham
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.63% (+0.22)
Total : 43.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.08)
Total : 26.53%
Bath City
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.13% (+0.16)
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT