Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.