Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.79% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.