National League South Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hardenhuish Park
  • Harry Parsons 26' goal

Chippenham Town vs Maidenhead United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Farnborough 2 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Harry Parsons

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Maidenhead 2 - 1 Salisbury
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.43% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Chippenham Town 23.42%
Draw 25.43%
Maidenhead United 51.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.9% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.39%
Under 2.5 51.61%
Over 3.5 26.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.5% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.97% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.03% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chippenham Town 20.1%
Draw 40.29%
Maidenhead United 39.61%

Team To Score First

Chippenham Town 33.85%
No Goal 7.9% (+0.02)
Maidenhead United 58.25% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.67% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.49% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.26% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.32% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.14% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.86% (-0.04)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 24.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.16% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.84% (+0.02)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5 78.04%
Under 0.5 21.96%
Over 1.5 47.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.92% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.95% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.05% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Chippenham Town 23.41%
Draw 25.43%
Maidenhead United 51.16%
Chippenham Town
1-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.77%
2-0 @ 3.58% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Total : 23.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.9% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.43%
Maidenhead United
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 9.89% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.68% (-0.02)
Total : 51.16%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Liam Dulson 45'+1' goal
  • Josh Umerah 64' goal
  • Sam Barratt 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Carroll 90'+4'
  • redcard Canice Carroll 90'+4'