National League South Gameweek 26
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
York Road Stadium

Maidenhead United vs Bath City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 3 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bath City 3 - 2 Worthing
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Owen Windsor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.53% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Maidenhead United 54.36% (+0.52)
Draw 24.53% (-0.09)
Bath City 21.11% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.7% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.88% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 46.77% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.23% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.14% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.56% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.44% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Maidenhead United 39.86% (-0.72)
Draw 41.65% (+0.16)
Bath City 18.49% (+0.55)

Team To Score First

Maidenhead United 61.24% (+1.14)
No Goal 8% (+0.02)
Bath City 30.76% (-1.15)

Corners

Over 8 57.39% (-4.26)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.17)
Under 8 31.08% (+4.42)
Over 9 45.68% (-3.65)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.62)
Under 9 42.61% (+4.26)
Over 10.5 34.76% (-2.75)
Under 10.5 65.24% (+2.75)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 1.5 47.82% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 52.18% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 22.09% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 77.91% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 8.07% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 91.93% (-0.34)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 55.72% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 44.28% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 21.02% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 78.98% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 5.33% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 94.67% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 1.17% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 98.83% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Maidenhead United 54.36%
Draw 24.55%
Bath City 21.11%
Maidenhead United
1-0 @ 12.6% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 5.43% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.15)
Other @ 8.06% (+0.35)
Total : 54.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.55%
Bath City
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.59% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.15)
Total : 21.11%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT