National League South
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT York Road
  • Dillon De Silva 20' goal
  • L. Dulson 77' goal

Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Maidenhead 2 - 3 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Enfield Town 2 - 4 Dorking
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Maidenhead United 34.42% (-0.69)
Draw 25.16% (-0.08)
Dorking Wanderers 40.42% (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.1% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.92% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 22.08% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 55.19% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 44.81% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 32.68% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 67.32% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 18.77% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 81.23% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Maidenhead United 29.26%
Draw 40.67% (-0.06)
Dorking Wanderers 30.07% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Maidenhead United 45.14% (+0.22)
No Goal 5.95% (-0.04)
Dorking Wanderers 48.91% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 61.77% (+0.12)
Equal 8 10.9% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.33% (-0.11)
Over 9 50.31% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 38.23% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 39.25% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 60.75% (-0.11)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 1.5 37.48% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 62.52% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 15.31% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 84.69% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 5.22% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.78% (+0.13)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 73.77% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 26.23% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 42.26% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 18.64% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 81.36% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 6.68% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 93.32% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Maidenhead United 34.43%
Draw 25.15%
Dorking Wanderers 40.41%
Maidenhead United
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.05)
Other @ 5% (-0.14)
Total : 34.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 25.15%
Dorking Wanderers
1-2 @ 8.88% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 8.42% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.25% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.46% (+0.22)
Total : 40.41%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT York Road Stadium
  • Sam Beckwith 10' goal
  • Reece Smith 28' goal
  • Alan Massey 30' yellowcard
  • Kane Ferdinand 35' yellowcard
  • Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 42' goal
  • Tristan Abrahams 89' goal
  • Craig Ross 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Carter 13'
  • yellowcard Luke Moore 45'+3'
  • goal Jason Prior 66'
  • yellowcard Niall McManus 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Niall McManus 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Tony Craig 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Prior 23' yellowcard
  • Matt Briggs 24' yellowcard
  • Barry Fuller 87' yellowcard
  • Niall McManus 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zico Asare 54'
  • goal Shawn McCoulsky 61'
  • redcard Zico Asare 77'
  • yellowcard Remy Clerima 90'
  • goal Ashley Nathaniel-George 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jason Prior 27' goal
  • Jason Prior 48' goal
  • Josh Taylor 58' goal
  • goal Charlee Adams 80'
National League Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT York Road Stadium
  • Remy Clerima 60' goal
  • goal Ryan Seager 2'