Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.