Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.