National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Charlie Carter 75' goal
  • goal Lyle Taylor 68'

Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Dag & Red 1 - 0 Dorking
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 7 - 1 Bath City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Dorking Wanderers 51.14% (+0.05)
Draw 23.63%
Chelmsford City 25.23% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.34% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 19.66% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 58.94% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 41.06% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 34.96% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.04% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 20.83% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 79.17% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Dorking Wanderers 37.71% (-0.01)
Draw 39.01%
Chelmsford City 23.28% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Dorking Wanderers 57.01% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.14% (+0.03)
Chelmsford City 37.85% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.36% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 28.54% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.78% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.58% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.63% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 40.51% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 59.49% (+0.04)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 52.08% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.92% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.13% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.87% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 10.35% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.65% (+0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 63.22% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.78% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.09% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.91% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.44% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.56% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.57% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.43% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Dorking Wanderers 51.14%
Draw 23.63%
Chelmsford City 25.24%
Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 10.32% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.02% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.06% (-0.01)
Total : 51.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.14% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 23.63%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-1 @ 5.51% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.28% (-0.04)
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Alfie Rutherford 18' yellowcard
  • Charlie Carter 48' goal
  • Alfie Rutherford 49' goal
  • Brennan Camp 57' yellowcard
  • Charlie Carter 71' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Tamplin 31'
  • goal Nico Valentine 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Valentine 64'
  • yellowcard Finley Wilkinson 73'
National League South Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Bradley Adam Williams 2' yellowcard
  • Paul Appiah 33' yellowcard
  • Archie Tamplin 81' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Carter 3'
  • yellowcard Tony Craig 8'
  • goal Charlie Carter 19'
  • goal Charlie Carter 70'
  • yellowcard Josh Brooking 76'
  • goal Jimmy Muitt 86'
National League South Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Briggs 3' goal
  • James McShane 53' goal
National League South Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Simeon Jackson 11' goal
  • Charlie Sheringham 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jason Prior 47'
  • goal Bobby-Joe Taylor 45'+4'
National League South Gameweek 39
May 7, 2021 11.00pm