Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (10.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.