National League South Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Horsham 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Farnborough 2 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Farnborough Town has a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%) , while for a Farnborough Town win it is 1-2 (4.35%).

Result

Ebbsfleet 65.98% (+0.05)
Draw 19.3%
Farnborough Town 14.77% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.45% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.55% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 38.22% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.78% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.33%
Under 4.5 74.67%

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 47.59%
Draw 35.15%
Farnborough Town 17.26%

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 68.42% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.52% (+0.02)
Farnborough Town 27.06% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.86% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.86% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.28% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.24% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.14% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 40.86% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 59.14% (+0.04)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 62.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 37.3% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 36.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.19% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 81.81% (-0.07)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 50.15% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 49.85% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 20.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 79.78% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.29%
Under 3.5 98.71%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 65.97%
Draw 19.29%
Farnborough Town 14.79%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.26% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.11% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.06)
Other @ 18.16% (+0.06)
Total : 65.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 19.29%
Farnborough Town
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hakeem Sandah 74' goal
  • goal Toby Edser 2'
National League South Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Jordan Norville-Williams 28' goal
  • Chike Kandi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Franklin Domi 60'
  • goal Haydn Hollis 68'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 42' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 54' goal
  • Greg Cundle 58' goal
  • Darren McQueen 90' goal
  • goal Jordan Norville-Williams 52'
  • goal Kevin Lokko 71'
  • redcard Omar Rowe 89'