National League South Gameweek 36
Ebbsfleet
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stonebridge Road
Farnborough
  • Kwesi Appiah 3' goal
  • Charlie Seaman 59' goal
  • goal Rakish Bingham 26'
  • goal Rakish Bingham 57'

Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Horsham 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Farnborough 2 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Mason Bloomfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%) , while for a Farnborough Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Ebbsfleet 65.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 19.3%
Farnborough Town 14.77% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 38.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.33%
Under 4.5 74.67%

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 47.59%
Draw 35.15%
Farnborough Town 17.26%

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 68.42% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Farnborough Town 27.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 25.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 52.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 40.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 59.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 62.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 37.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 36.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 81.81% ▼ (-0.07)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 50.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 49.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 20.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 79.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.29%
Under 3.5 98.71%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 65.97%
Draw 19.29%
Farnborough Town 14.79%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 18.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 65.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 19.29%
Farnborough Town
1-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head

National League South
Farnborough
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ebbsfleet
  • Hakeem Sandah 74' goal
  • goal Toby Edser 2'
National League South Gameweek 29
Farnborough
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Paddy Power Park
Ebbsfleet
  • Jordan Norville-Williams 28' goal
  • Chike Kandi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Franklin Domi 60'
  • goal Haydn Hollis 68'
National League South Gameweek 4
Ebbsfleet
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
Farnborough
  • Dominic Poleon 42' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 54' goal
  • Greg Cundle 58' goal
  • Darren McQueen 90' goal
  • goal Jordan Norville-Williams 52'
  • goal Kevin Lokko 71'
  • redcard Omar Rowe 89'

Form Data

Horsham 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Chesham 4 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Bath City 2 - 2 Ebbsfleet
Ebbsfleet 4 - 0 AFC Totton
Ebbsfleet 2 - 2 Enfield Town
Salisbury 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Farnborough 2 - 1 Chippenham
Farnborough 0 - 5 Enfield Town
Dorking 5 - 3 Farnborough
Maidenhead 2 - 2 Farnborough
Eastbourne 1 - 2 Farnborough
Farnborough 0 - 1 Chesham