Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 0-1 (9.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.