National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
The Meadow

Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Worthing 2 - 0 Chesham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Mitchell Weiss

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Maidstone 2 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Louis Britton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Weston-super-Mare has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win is 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Chesham United 43.47% (+0.04)
Draw 27.46%
Weston-super-Mare 29.08% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.23%
Under 2.5 53.77%
Over 3.5 24.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.04% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.22%
Under 4.5 86.78%

First Half Winner

Chesham United 30.72% (-0.05)
Draw 46.11% (-0.03)
Weston-super-Mare 23.17% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Chesham United 52.41% (-0.15)
No Goal 8.52%
Weston-super-Mare 39.07% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 51.77% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 36.28% (+0.18)
Over 9 40.15% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 9 48.23% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 29.77% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 70.23% (+0.15)

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 40.12%
Under 1.5 59.88%
Over 2.5 16.47%
Under 2.5 83.53%
Over 3.5 5.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.57% (-0.03)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 63.65% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.35% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.74%
Under 1.5 71.26%
Over 2.5 9.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chesham United 43.47%
Draw 27.45%
Weston-super-Mare 29.08%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.43% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.25% (+0.01)
Total : 43.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 27.45%
Weston-super-Mare
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.08%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • Luke Coulson 53' goal
  • goal Nathan Minhas 72'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Meadow
  • Connor Stevens 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Callum Adebiyi 71' yellowcard
  • Connor Stevens 84' goal
  • Omar Rowe 88' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Coulson 55'
  • yellowcard James Dodd 73'
  • yellowcard Nick McCootie 80'
  • goal Luke Coulson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kieran Thomas 90'+5'