National League South Gameweek 32
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
The A2B Stadium

Worthing vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Worthing 3 - 1 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Brad Dolaghan

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 0 - 1 Dag & Red
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Mitchell Weiss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Worthing win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Chesham United has a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.06%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Chesham United win it is 0-1 (4.96%).

Result

Worthing 60.62% (-0.02)
Draw 21.9% (+0.04)
Chesham United 17.47% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.82% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.18% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.01%
Under 2.5 42.99%
Over 3.5 34.94% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 65.06% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 21.74% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 78.26% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Worthing 45.54%
Draw 36.78%
Chesham United 17.68%

Team To Score First

Worthing 62.78% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.3% (-0.05)
Chesham United 31.92% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.37% (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 29.73% (+0.06)
Over 9 48.14% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.63% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 37.46% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.54% (+0.04)

Worthing Goals

Over 1.5 58.65% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.35% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 31.69% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 68.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 13.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.15% (-0.01)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 54.07% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 45.93% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 22.66% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 77.34% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.56% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.56%
Under 3.5 98.44%

Score analysis

Worthing 60.62%
Draw 21.9%
Chesham United 17.48%
Worthing
2-1 @ 10.07% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.18% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.08)
Other @ 13.81% (+0.03)
Total : 60.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 21.9%
Chesham United
0-1 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Total : 17.48%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
LIVE
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Temi Babalola 8' yellowcard
  • Joel Colbran 15' goal
  • Liam Nash 50' goal
  • Temi Babalola 54' goal
  • yellowcard Connor Stevens 55'
  • yellowcard Taylor Foram 69'
National League South Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Meadow
  • Mitchell Weiss 27' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Weiss 32' goal
  • Mitchell Weiss 59' goal
  • redcard Glen Rea 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joe Cook 47'
  • yellowcard Sam Beard 75'