Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.97% and a win for Chesham United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 1-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a Chesham United win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.