National League South
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Truro Sports Hub
  • Sonny Robert Fish 36' goal
  • Dan Hayfield 74' goal
  • goal Karl Oliyide 2'

Torquay United vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 2 - 1 Salisbury
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Louis Dennis

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 4 - 0 Weston
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mitchell Weiss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.94% and a win for Chesham United had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Chesham United win it was 1-2 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Torquay United 52.25% (-1.15)
Draw 23.94% (+0.25)
Chesham United 23.86% (+0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.33% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.85% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 21.15% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 56.3% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 43.7% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 34.19% (+0.98)
Under 3.5 65.81% (-0.99)
Over 4.5 20.39% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 79.61% (-0.58)

First Half Winner

Torquay United 40.03% (-0.05)
Draw 39.05% (-0.03)
Chesham United 20.92% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Torquay United 59.2% (-0.97)
No Goal 5.65% (+0.06)
Chesham United 35.15% (+0.93)

Corners

Over 8 59.46% (-1.58)
Equal 8 10.82% (-0.07)
Under 8 29.72% (+1.63)
Over 9 48.3% (-1.38)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.19)
Under 9 40.54% (+1.58)
Over 10.5 37.68% (-1.08)
Under 10.5 62.32% (+1.08)

Torquay United Goals

Over 1.5 52.01% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 47.99% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 25.95% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 74.05% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 10.71% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 89.29% (+0.19)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 61.26% (+1.19)
Under 0.5 38.74% (-1.19)
Over 1.5 28.51% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 71.49% (-1.25)
Over 2.5 10.23% (+0.80)
Under 2.5 89.77% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 3.07% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 96.93% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Torquay United 52.24%
Draw 23.94%
Chesham United 23.85%
Torquay United
2-1 @ 10.01% (-0.19)
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.38)
3-2 @ 3.38% (+0.20)
Other @ 10.48% (-0.17)
Total : 52.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.65% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 23.94%
Chesham United
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.84% (+0.38)
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Cody Cooke 32' goal
  • goal Alex Lafleur 49'
  • goal Alex Lafleur 89'
National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Meadow
  • Ryan Upward 33' yellowcard
  • Joe Grant 35' goal
  • Jack Cawley 44' redcard
  • Joe Grant 65' goal
  • Samson Esan 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Tonks 14'
  • goal Cody Cooke 44'
  • goal Dan Hayfield 69'
  • goal Bradley Ash 90'+6'