Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.