Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for AFC Totton had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest AFC Totton win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.