Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.