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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.01% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 60.46% | 21.01% | 18.53% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% | 41.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% | 63.54% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% | 13.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% | 39.92% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% | 72.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 6.72% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.36% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-1 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.53% |