League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
2 - 3
Swindon

Miller (63'), Archer (78')
Shipley (43'), Miller (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cox (30'), Wright (34'), McGregor (47')
Ofoborh (14'), Kennedy (15'), Cox (45+2'), Longelo-Mbule (85'), Wright (90+5'), Barden (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Swindon Town
35.33% ( -0.18)	26.03% ( -0.17)	38.63% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.6% (

0.69)

50.39% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67% (

0.61)

72.33% (

-0.61)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

0.22)

27.43% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

0.28)

62.91% (

-0.28)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.51)

25.54% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.69)

60.4% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 35.33%

Swindon Town 38.63%

Draw 26.03%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.33%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.63%