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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42'), Armstrong (72')
Jones (47'), Harper (49'), Wyke (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
46.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)24.74% (-0.012 -0.01)28.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.83% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.024999999999991 0.02)20.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (0.041000000000004 0.04)52.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)66.06% (0.0029999999999859 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.41%
    Carlisle United 28.85%
    Draw 24.73%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Shade (80')
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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