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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Swindon
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
22.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08)25.47% (-0.299 -0.3)52.21% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.92 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (1.162 1.16)54.88% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.953 0.95)76.17% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (0.74 0.74)39.76% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.675 0.68)76.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.566 0.57)21.04% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.874 0.87)53.84% (-0.872 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 22.32%
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Draw 25.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.32%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.21%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
rhs 2.0


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