League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Swindon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Northampton Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Carlisle United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Doncaster Rovers | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Swindon
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Grimsby Town | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Hartlepool United | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
22.32% ( 0.08) | 25.47% ( -0.3) | 52.21% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
