League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Wetherby Road

Harrogate
3 - 0
Carlisle

Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
35.16%	25.53%	39.31%

Both teams to score 55.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79%

48.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64%

70.36%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51%

26.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32%

61.68%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8%

24.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47%

58.53%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 35.16%

Carlisle United 39.31%

Draw 25.53%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.16%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.31%