League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 0
Mansfield

Patrick (56')
Armer (68'), Simeu (79'), Patrick (89'), Dickenson (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
22.56%	25.65%	51.79%

Both teams to score 47.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7%

55.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48%

76.51%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24%

39.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57%

76.43%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62%

54.38%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 22.56%

Mansfield Town 51.78%

Draw 25.64%

Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 13.11% 0-2 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 4.8% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.78%