League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Exeter

Gibson (19'), Mellish (48'), Dickenson (55'), Simeu (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amond (89')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Exeter City
25.55%	27.16%	47.29%

Both teams to score 46.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58%

58.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98%

79.02%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27%

38.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53%

75.47%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68%

59.32%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 25.55%

Exeter City 47.28%

Draw 27.15%

Carlisle United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.55%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 13.38% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.28%