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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Exeter City

Carlisle
0 - 1
Exeter


Gibson (19'), Mellish (48'), Dickenson (55'), Simeu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amond (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawExeter City
25.55%27.16%47.29%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58%58.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98%79.02%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27%38.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53%75.47%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68%59.32%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 25.55%
    Exeter City 47.28%
    Draw 27.15%
Carlisle UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.31%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.55%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 13.38%
0-2 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-3 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.52%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 47.28%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Carlisle
Nombe (60'), Caprice (80')
Gibson (84')
Howard (60')
Mellish (43')
Jan 30, 2021 1pm
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
1-3
Exeter
Olomola (61')
McKirdy (71'), Sagaf (73')
Martin (36'), Martin (67'), Law (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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