League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland

Rochdale
2 - 0
Carlisle

Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
43.6%	27.09%	29.31%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.78%

56.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.74%

77.27%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84%

71.16%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 43.6%

Carlisle United 29.31%

Draw 27.09%

Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.31%