League Two

League Two | Gameweek 35

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
1 - 2
Carlisle

Hope (45+4')
Missilou (27'), Bahamboula (27'), Hope (36'), Adams (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Patrick (48'), Feeney (90+4')
Simeu (26'), Mellish (27'), Feeney (90+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38
24	Scunthorpe United	46	-61	26

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
34.61%	27.92%	37.47%

Both teams to score 47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.98%

58.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3%

78.7%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36%

31.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95%

68.04%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16%

29.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07%

65.93%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 34.61%

Carlisle United 37.46%

Draw 27.91%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.46%