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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 44.6% | 27.25% | 28.15% |
| Both teams to score 47.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% | 57.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% | 78.15% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% | 25.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% | 60.45% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% | 35.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.28% | 72.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.15% |