League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Rochdale

Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Rochdale
33.74%	28.48%	37.78%

Both teams to score 46.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.88%

60.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.67%

80.33%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7%

33.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08%

69.92%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05%

66.95%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 33.74%

Rochdale 37.78%

Draw 28.48%

Carlisle United	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.74%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Rochdale

Carlisle United

44.4%

Draw

44.4%

Rochdale

11.1%