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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 35.74% | 27.59% | 36.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% | 56.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% | 77.67% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% | 30.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% | 66.44% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% | 65.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.67% |