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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 41.98% | 26.47% | 31.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% | 53.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% | 74.61% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% | 59.61% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% | 31.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.54% |