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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 29.21% | 27.72% | 43.07% |
| Both teams to score 46.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% | 79.1% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% | 26.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% | 62.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2% Total : 29.21% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 12.63% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.07% |