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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 33.43% | 28.05% | 38.52% |
| Both teams to score 47.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% | 32.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% | 69.29% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% | 65.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.51% |