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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 45.9% | 27.7% | 26.4% |
| Both teams to score 45.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.23% | 59.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% | 80.06% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% | 38.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% | 75.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.4% |