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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 46.02% | 26.13% | 27.84% |
| Both teams to score 50.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% | 74.82% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% | 23.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% | 56.95% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% | 34.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% | 70.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.84% |