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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 40.43% | 27.4% | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% | 56.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% | 77.43% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% | 32.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.18% |