League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Stevenage

Riley (52'), Alessandra (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Norris (88' pen.)
Taylor (33')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Stevenage

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47
22	Barrow	46	-13	44

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
34.17%	27.79%	38.03%

Both teams to score 48.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43%

57.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65%

78.35%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3%

31.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88%

68.12%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71%

29.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75%

65.25%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.17%

Stevenage 38.03%

Draw 27.79%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.17%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.03%