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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 27.01% | 27.77% | 45.21% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.29% | 59.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% | 80.01% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% | 74.94% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% | 26.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% | 61.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.61% Total : 27.01% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-3 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.99% Total : 45.2% |