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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Rochdale

Stevenage
1 - 0
Rochdale

Cuthbert (48')
Lines (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connell (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawRochdale
36.14%26.5%37.36%
Both teams to score 52.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7%52.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54%63.46%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85%27.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46%62.54%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 36.14%
    Rochdale 37.36%
    Draw 26.49%
StevenageDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.14%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.36%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-2
Stevenage
Beesley (4'), Andrews (35')
Kelly (90')
List (27', 47')
Melbourne (74'), Read (89'), Cuthbert (90+4')
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Rochdale
1-5
Stevenage
Ormerod (52')
Widdowson (26')
Widdowson (56')
Wilson (46', 53'), Byrom (66'), Freeman (18', 58')
Wilson (90')
Sep 3, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
4-2
Rochdale
Beardsley (30', 45'), Reid (13')
Reid (53')
Jones (28'), Ball (71')
Jones (31')