Home > Football > League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Rochdale |
| 36.14% | 26.5% | 37.36% |
| Both teams to score 52.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.01% | 73.99% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% | 27.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.36% |