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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Rochdale

Crawley
1 - 0
Rochdale

Nadesan (18')
Davies (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 2-0 Rochdale

Despite having little to play for on Saturday, we can see the hosts coming out on top against a struggling Rochdale side that are lacking in quality all over the pitch in recent weeks. Crawley were excellent last time out against a solid Swindon side, and if they can perform anywhere near those levels, then they should come out victorious fairly comfortably in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crawley Town.

Result
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
44.44%26.4%29.17%
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.28%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 44.44%
    Rochdale 29.17%
    Draw 26.4%
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Crawley vs Rochdale

Crawley Town
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
4-1
Crawley
Tanser (33'), Henderson (38', 88'), Andrew (93')
Elliott (76')
Tomlin (7')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Rochdale

McLeod (74')
Done (10'), Vincenti (54', 66'), Andrew (75')
Andrew (77'), Rafferty (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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