League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Crawley
1 - 0
Rochdale

Nadesan (18')
Davies (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crawley Town.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Rochdale
44.44%	26.4%	29.17%

Both teams to score 50.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.37%

53.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87%

75.13%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98%

24.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72%

58.28%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81%

33.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.8%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 44.44%

Rochdale 29.17%

Draw 26.4%

Crawley Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.44%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.17%