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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 40.44% | 26.22% | 33.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% | 51.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% | 73.29% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% | 25.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% | 59.77% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% | 65.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.34% |