League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
4 - 1
Crawley

Garrity (26', 51'), Worrall (38'), Hall (61')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Smith (9' og.)
Nichols (35')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Crawley Town
49.09%	26.54%	24.37%

Both teams to score 46.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95%

57.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06%

77.94%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74%

57.26%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97%

39.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25%

75.76%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 49.09%

Crawley Town 24.37%

Draw 26.54%

Port Vale	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.37%