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AFC Wimbledon
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Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
1 - 2
Crawley

Waite (59')
Waite (19')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crawley Town

Crawley may have won three of their last four matches, but all of those wins took place on home turf and with Newport determined to keep hold of their playoff spot, we think that the hosts will edge out the Reds on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
54.76%23.11%22.13%
Both teams to score 54.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44%45.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11%67.89%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48%16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73%46.27%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29%34.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57%71.44%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 54.75%
    Crawley Town 22.13%
    Draw 23.1%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.9%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Newport
1-1
Crawley
Abrahams (74' pen.)
Nathaniel-George (35' pen.)
Sesay (59'), Grego-Cox (68'), Lubala (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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