League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Crawley
3 - 1
Swindon

Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Swindon Town
34.89%	26.21%	38.89%

Both teams to score 53.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78%

51.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94%

73.05%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9%

28.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24%

63.76%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21%

25.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27%

60.73%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 34.89%

Swindon Town 38.89%

Draw 26.21%

Crawley Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.89%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.89%