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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 48.94% | 25.37% | 25.69% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.04% | 53.95% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% | 71.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 1% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.69% |