League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Dieng (31', 44')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
59.6%	22.73%	17.67%

Both teams to score 48.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.08%

49.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1%

71.9%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62%

16.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99%

46.01%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04%

41.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6%

78.4%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 59.59%

Crawley Town 17.67%

Draw 22.72%

Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.89% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.59%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.67%