League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 0
Rochdale

Dieng (34'), Jay (60')
Zanzala (52'), Brown (81'), Key (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McNulty (51'), Taylor (75')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Rochdale
60.71%	22.34%	16.95%

Both teams to score 48.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54%

49.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5%

71.5%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15%

15.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96%

45.04%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.42%

42.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07%

78.93%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 60.71%

Rochdale 16.95%

Draw 22.34%

Exeter City	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.07% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.34%	0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.72% Total : 16.95%